Eliminating the income tax would rig our tax code for the wealthiest, guarantee budget shortfalls

Maine’s Legislature is considering a bill that would incrementally eliminate Maine’s income tax. While there is little likelihood of the bill becoming law, it’s critical to note how such proposals would harm our state now and in the future.

Eliminating a state’s progressive income tax is the surest way to create an upside-down tax system — one where those with the least income pay the highest share of their income in taxes.

In states without an income tax, the poorest 40 percent of households pay an effective tax rate between 2.2 and 4.7 times higher than the wealthiest 1 percent.[i]

Effective state and local tax rates of states without an income tax

State Bottom 40% Top 1% Ratio
Alaska 5.5 % 2.5 % 2.2
Florida 10.5 % 2.3 % 4.6
New Hampshire 7.5 % 3 % 2.5
Nevada 8.8 % 1.9 % 4.6
South Dakota 10.2 % 2.5 % 4.1
Tennessee 9.7 % 2.8 % 3.5
Texas 11.6 % 3.1 % 3.7
Washington 14 % 3 % 4.7
Wyoming 8.6 % 2.6 % 3.3

Source: ITEP. Fairness Matters: A Chart Book on Who Pays State and Local Taxes, March 2019

 

Maine’s income tax is the only state or local tax that asks those with higher incomes to pay more than those who earn less.[ii]

That unique feature is a crucial component to balancing out the other elements of our tax code, such as the sales tax and property tax, that ask more of low- and middle-income families than they do of wealthy families. Both the sales tax and property tax have increased in recent years[iii], making the progressive income tax even more important for tax fairness.

Maine has already suffered under large reductions to the income tax, which have led to underfunding of communities and pressure on property taxes. Maine hasn’t fully funded revenue sharing to local communities since the recession and has never fully funded schools at the voter approved minimum of 55 percent.

In the coming biennium Maine will have $430 million less per year because of changes to the income tax enacted since 2010 and is likely to continue underfunding these priorities without a plan to raise revenues.[iv] The income tax now raises $1.76 billion each year, eliminating this revenue entirely would make it all but impossible to fund investments that support families and build thriving communities.

The Legislature has consistently rejected previous attempts to eliminate the income tax. It should do so again this year.


Notes:

[i] MECEP analysis of data from the Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy, 2019

[ii] MRS, 2019 Tax Expenditure Report, Appendix D: Tax Incidence Report.

[iii] Maine’s sales tax increased from 5% to 5.5% starting in October of 2013; The average statewide mil rate increased 20% between 2010 and 2016, from 12.78 to 15.06

[iv] ITEP analysis, December 2018